Mini Ice Age? (Page 49)

duncan124
duncan124:
Perhaps they are good omens and it is just a coincidence that we have had cloudy skys every day since Neowise appeared.

The Romans certainly believed in foretelling events by studying the sky and the knowledge of how to do so was a powerful political tool which had to be kept secret. Otherwise, I guess they all would say here comes the earthquake or the violent storms.
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duncan124
duncan124:

20 years after the end of the old world order their machines still report increasing amounts of carbon dioxide.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/news/global-co2-high-covid-2020-fa/

If it is not a political dream then something has been slowing spreading without us being able to see it??

I think this is how bad people behave when they have been shown to be unpopular after doing wrong

And it started when people were so angry with the damage to the environment done by US companies.






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kittybobo34
kittybobo34: New report, the amount of co2 trapped in the peat bogs of the arctic is 10 times what they originally estimated. Bet the amount of methane will be as well.
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MJ59
MJ59:
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duncan124
duncan124:

I really don't believe. Everything to do with the old story is what helped kill all those people.

Two Sunspots have appeared , AR2771 and AR2770. The first time for a long while that two sunspots have been seen together.

Perhaps they are related to this hot weather. And if there are more it will get hotter???
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Sir Loin
Sir Loin: Dunc, is this the end of the solar minimum? Interesting times
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Sir Loin
Sir Loin: Kitty the CO2 in the peat will be oxidised CH4 mostly, it only has a shelf life of a few years.
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duncan124
duncan124:
Well Sir Loin, the solar Minimum was predicted to be around April 2020 when the technical lowest point would exist.

But as that is also said to be the start of the next Maximum words can be a little miss leading.

Solar activity was at its lowest in 2020 and is expected to increase from now towards the solar Max, but as this is a Grand Solar Minimum the Max is going to be fairly low and far less then other Solar Maxs.

The problem is that after so low a Minimum the restarting Solar activity will effect Earth in new , powerful and unexpected ways
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duncan124
duncan124:

Sunspots are increasing. Cycle 25 is underway. The spotless total so far is 68% of the time is still spotless in 2020.

Hopes for a year Zero with nearly no sunspots have been forgotten.

Are we going to get wetter weather again??
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kittybobo34
kittybobo34: Its a la nina year, which means more hurricanes in the Atlantic, cool weather in the Northern states. Not sure what it means for the rest of the world.
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Sir Loin
Sir Loin: Kitty, in a La Nina year we in NZ are likely to get a cyclone or 2 and warmer weather although last summer was a scorcher without it
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kittybobo34
kittybobo34: Interesting Sir Loin, I didn't realize the effects extended to the southern hemisphere.
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Sir Loin
Sir Loin: Yep Kitty, the Southern Oscillation actually begins with a sea surface temp anomaly in the Coral Sea off the Aussie NE coast
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duncan124
duncan124:

Autumnal cold has began in the UK with the warm air from the south long since blown away.

The northern cold from maybe the fjords of Norway is just touching the shadows and this Summer Bank Holiday is the start of the end of summer.

There may be some more warm days but they can be counted and many trees are changing colour.

Spaceweather is talking about another Carrington event but in another spotless stretch of ten or eleven days it must mean it thinks of more spotless periods as the Sun changes again and more energetic weather.
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duncan124
duncan124:
I guess the very hot days over taxed the smaller and weaker trees and perhaps with deteriorating soil quality they are no longer able to rejuvenate.

The Southern Oscillation is I think associated with storms and very hot days and regional heat waves in Australia.


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kittybobo34
kittybobo34: Duncan,, Have you seen the line of hurricanes coming at the USA from Africa. Awsome.
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duncan124
duncan124:
Storms are bad for us in the UK.

The coastal erosion increases and storms can drive sea water a long way inland. There has already been flood warnings this quarter.
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kittybobo34
kittybobo34: You guys in the UK owe us big time for slowing those storms down before they get to you !
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duncan124
duncan124:
"Much warmer weather is expected to develop over the weekend into next week.

An extensive omega blocking pattern is expected to develop this weekend and strengthen into the next week. A powerful surface high-pressure system will spread across a large part of Europe and bring stable and very hot weather in many areas.

In response to a changing pattern, a very strong warm advection will spread from the south into central and northern Europe. It will bring a stable, around a week-long period of very warm to hot days." SWE

More hot days. At the end of summer very good for generating storms.
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duncan124
duncan124:

"A stratospheric Polar Vortex has now emerged above the Arctic Circle. It will influence the Winter 2020/2021 weather along with the incoming La Nina and west QBO" SWE

SWE has spotted the new PV . But it seems a bit early to me.

https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/polar-vortex-formation-winter-2020-2021-fa/

There is a short video but it is so covered with adds it wont play!

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duncan124
duncan124:

Don't Panic!

"A PROTO-SUNSPOT FROM SOLAR CYCLE 25: A proto-sunspot is growing in the sun's northern hemisphere. Its magnetic polarity marks it as a member of new Solar Cycle 25. The growing spot is not yet large enough to receive an official number, and might dissipate before lifting the daily sunspot number above zero" Spaceweather.

SW has stopped counting the spotless days for this spot of a Sunspot. After one recount already this is 24 days into a spotless stretch. Guided by the deep calm in the weather here being related to the deep Solar calm it could be another record league event.

NASA has to be always hopeful but what does that mean for this quiet solar cycle??

Better this less but quiet weather then the rowdy stuff we had before??
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duncan124
duncan124:

A quick look at Nullschool shows this years PV to have a centre around Baffin Island at 70hPa and no real circuit at 10hPa.

SWE points out it is the air pressure across the Arctic that starts the real PV. But the depression there is often there we have seen.

If the start of the PV is pulling in this hot weather already is it going to start properly anyway??
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duncan124
duncan124:
East Anglia suffered from 70mph winds and rain over the last few days.

Conveniently timed to remove the already yellow leaves from the failing trees and coinciding with this months only Sunspot it already seems like a conspiracy to stop the warm weather.

Portugal has also had an exceptional storm.

"The first ever subtropical storm has been recorded in an occurrence described by meteorologists as a “historic fact”.
According to weather experts, subtropical storm Alpha, which barrelled along the Portuguese coast and through some parts of Spain last weekend, was the first event of its kind to be registered since weather records began.

This was first put forward by Spanish meteorologists and later confirmed by the Portuguese Met Office (IPMA).

In some cases along the Portuguese coast, particularly the stretches along the Algarve and up to Lisbon, entire beaches were consumed by rapid rises in sea levels, while winds of up to 100km/h were registered in some inland locations.

On 18 September, 522 occurrences were registered by civil protection authorities due to strong rain and wind which wreaked havoc in various parts of the country.

The early hours of 19 September were calmer, but the Civil Protection service still registered 33 occurrences, mostly associated to falling trees, flooding, toppling structures and tidal surges in coastal areas." The Portugal News.
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duncan124
duncan124:

Smoke and storms.

Sever Weather Europe reports;-

"A thick smoke cloud was spreading across North America, including both the United States and southern Canada. Impressively, the smoke cloud has already reached the North Atlantic.

Now, the smoke cloud has also spread into Europe...."

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/smoke-cloud-wildfires-europe-mk/
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kittybobo34
kittybobo34: I would respond but can't see my computer screen through the thick haze.,,, Gail from CIncinnati
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