Mini Ice Age? (Page 36) duncan124: " Thermosphere Climate Index today: 2.65x1010 W Cold " spaceweather As the coldest was 2.05, only 0.6 high it must be said to be cold out there today 03.08.19 duncan124: " Thermosphere Climate Index today: 3.04x1010 W Cold " Spaceweather 07.08.19 After dropping to 2.55 at least the Index has jumped back to 3.04 in a few days. Logically the the index might also have dropped by the same large amount instead. duncan124: With 150 days and 67% spotless this year is certainly ahead of 2018, so far. But with a sunspot around every two weeks the big league of spotless months is way out 2019s reach. However 19 still hasn't yet been the official start of the next cycle. That maybe due to the obnoxious kitchen cabinet appointed to be " the experts " on all matters Solar Minimum by computers in the former USA.  huffypuffy00: DUNCAN, seems to me just reading the last 3yrs of your inane chatter, that you are the only one reading it! I do think you are watching and recording various scientific scenarios with a passion, yessiree. So,how bout I tell you my un-scientific observations..? You may not like it, but better than an e-echo, hey? huffypuffy00: Ok, how about dark matter as a start. If you acknowledge this, you will have to revise your sun equations, gravity becomes a big particle..particular wedge in your observations. Or would you prefer to blame it all on all and sundry..?! huffypuffy00: I'm actually going to declare this forum empty of any competition, and so, boring. Sol be with you. duncan124: "MOOSE JAW HITS THE FLOOR — MULTIPLE ALL-TIME LOW TEMPERATURE RECORDS FALL IN SASKATCHEWAN JULY 30, 2019 The mercury plunged more than 12C below-average overnight Sunday, setting new record lows across central Canada in books often dating back to the late 1800s/early 1900s…" https://electroverse.net/moose-jaw-hits-the-floor-multiple-all-time-low-temperature-records-fall-in-saskatchewan/ Electro also mentions Moscow had a cold start to August due to rain obscuring the sunlight and that NASA predicts the weakest Solar Cycle in 200 years. duncan124: "THE TREE SEED STORM I am only able to report on the forests and their surrounding areas in central latitudes of Scandinavia. This year, birch trees in Scandinavia are producing in one year the amount that might usually occur in three or four years. Birch tree seeds (which look like tiny airplanes) piled up everywhere. It has been possible this summer to take a wheelbarrow and fill one every 20 yards along the way if one wanted to clear the area of seeds.... If we would like to look for some possible reason this rapid tree growth is occurring now, it would be partially the effect of the doubling of galactic cosmic radiation in this present Grand Solar Minimum. This causes an increase in nitrogen in the soil. To lend a bit of credibility of these observations on tree growth and some of the other observations, there is a UK study indicating a direct correlation between tree growth and the level of cosmic rays by the Institute of Atmospheric and Environmental Science, School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh." https://principia-scientific.org/cloud-formations-and-plant-growth-cycles-in-the-present-grand-solar-minimum/ I remember this idea from long ago and it is coming true it seems. duncan124: "The late summer heat wave will intensify across a large part of Europe until early September, locally again near +35 °CBy SWE | Mesoscale Discussion | 24 August 2019 Europe is in for another heat wave after this weekend as strong upper level ridge / Omega blocking pattern establishes. Temperatures will be back into low/mid 30s across many parts of our continent. Very warm weather is also expected across Scandinavia." SWE http://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/the-late-summer-heat-wave-will-intensify-across-a-large-part-of-europe-until-early-september-locally-again-near-35-c/ SWEs colourful report also indicates a pressure system will cause the heat wave and perhaps means the Less Weather Is More Weather of the Solar Minimum is here to stay and strong storms could also be expected amongst the otherwise minimal weather. duncan124: "Rare weather phenomenon amassing in southern hemisphere - Sudden Stratospheric Warming ..."The Watchers. The southern hemisphere is now having the same type of changes as the North had last winter. As people here on WC had predicted might happen. https://watchers.news/2019/08/22/southern-hemisphere-sudden-stratospheric-warming-2019/ duncan124: Spaceweather summarises the Sunspot number since July the 21st as 88%. " A SUMMER WITHOUT SUNSPOTS: Since northern summer began on June 21st, the sun has been blank--that is, without sunspots--88% of the time. The only interruptions have been a handful of tiny quiet sunspots that sometimes disintegrated within hours of forming. The remainder of summer appears set to continue in the same way. Welcome to Solar Minimum!" Spaceweather. However 2019 probably wont be in the big league for stretches without Sunspots which is also used to correlate bad weather and Sunspots. Does that mean sunspots are needed to agitate the weather before it is left to go to extremes?? How does that reflect on the idea of a Warm Period? if the weather keeps going into mild conditions wont it keep getting warmer if it starts to trend that way???? duncan124: Apart from the heat it is the consistent lack of wind at ground level that is characterising this August and this heat wave. Looking at Windy and Nullschool shows it to be wide spread with most of Europe and North Africa a solid beep blue on the wind scale. Meaning zero or very little wind even at the slightly above ground level they measure at. Perhaps it is political or religious or sociological reasoning that excludes the wind from the observations. duncan124: " HAVE YOU SEEN A PURPLE SUNSET? Sky watchers are reporting a strange color in the sunset sky: purple. This is a sign of volcanic activity. " Spaceweather. Stromboli the volcano that gave its name to rumbling continuous eruptions erupted explosively on the 28th of August. https://www.news.com.au/travel/travel-updates/volcano-on-italian-island-of-stromboli-spews-lava-and-ash-in-latest-eruption/news-story/fdd4633b428cf5929ffe011ac0b505bf The latest in a long list of volcanoes that have had violent eruptions this year! duncan124: One thing about high level dust and gas from volcanoes is that they alter the winds far beyond their extent. It could be that now the oceans are now the main source of what we call the wind. A complete reversal from a short time ago when the heating of the ground caused the wind and the oceans were less windy. duncan124: "July 2019, warmest July on record globally. But some areas were actually colder than normal, including Europe! " SWE http://www.severe-weather.eu/news/july-2019-warmest-on-record/ I think it is geological so in fact the trend is downwards. duncan124: " Strong eruption at Sheveluch volcano on August 29, ash to 10.3 km (34 000 feet) a.s.l., Russia" The watchers. https://watchers.news/2019/08/29/sheveluch-volcano-eruption-russia-august-29-2019/ duncan124: Analysis of the Stromboli eruption. https://watchers.news/2019/08/30/detailed-analysis-of-violent-explosive-eruption-of-stromboli-volcano-on-august-28-italy/ duncan124: "THE SOLAR WIND IS BLOWING--REALLY FAST: A stream of high-speed solar wind is lashing Earth's magnetic field, blowing faster than 700 km/s. This is sparking geomagnetic storms around the poles. An episode of G2-storming yesterday, Aug. 31st, pushed bright auroras across the Canadian border into the USA as far south as Wisconsin, Michigan and Montana...." Spaceweather. " As Thrillist reports, the aurora borealis is at its peak—and won’t be this bright again until 2025. The colorful lights that seem to bend in the sky over the Arctic Circle are the product of electrons from the Sun colliding with gases in the planet’s atmosphere. The lights are controlled by the Sun, and because solar activity goes through 11-year cycles, so does the aurora borealis. The Sun is currently at the end of the maximum stage of its cycle. The increased solar activity makes for northern lights that are more frequent and visible farther south. " Mentalfloss. http://mentalfloss.com/article/505021/northern-lights-won%E2%80%99t-be-bright-again-until-2025 Would a really big storm and ,or volcanic dust and gas ,react with the auroras?? i remember a Sci Fi movie about it and some scientific research which showed the Auroras Borealis bending as the storm passed by. In the fictional movie the big storm was at sea and as a small part of the story ships were having to changing their electrical wiring and lights. duncan124: Sunspot 2748 breaks a longish run and probably leaves '19 out of the top twenty for consecutive days without Sunspots. The % is at 69 and only 3 % points behind 2008 and with about four months to go! duncan124: "Thermosphere Climate Index today: 3.76x1010 W Cold " Spaceweather. The index is rocketing upwards very quickly. Perhaps it is the changing seasons. duncan124: SWE has an in depth look at the southern SSW. "These events are significant, as the warming and the disruption of the polar vortex eventually makes its way down to the troposphere and can cause a change in weather patterns. It can bring colder weather and snow into lower latitudes, for example, Australia and New Zealand. A lot depends on the current weather patterns since the effects of these SSW’s can be sometimes quite dynamic and last for different time periods. The graphic below shows the 10mb geopotential height, where we can see the displaced polar vortex and the stratospheric “anti-vortex” (a polar high) pushing against it." SWE http://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/sudden-stratospheric-warming-antarctica/ ....and updates on the storm Dorian. duncan124: I think the storm , the SWW, in as much as it is also a cooler, and the extreme weather in Canada and the Former USA around Colorado are all connected and result from the geological changes. The effects of a Grand Solar Minimum are only going to add to the situation. duncan124: SWE has created an animation of a 3D visualisation of the SWW, go to SWE to understand more. duncan124: On the other side of the Former USA there is also Hurricane Juliette. Far smaller than the monster Dorian it still is a reminder of when Hurricanes came in twos. | Science Chat Room 1 Person Chatting Similar Conversations |