Democracy Dies in the Dark (Page 7)

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Northeast

Compared with the state overall, the voting population here …
Has a lower share of people living in cities than average.
Has fewer non-White residents than average.
Has fewer college-educated residents than average.

If Democrats lost the 2016 election in one part of Pennsylvania, it was here, and they hardly saw it coming. Clinton’s suburb-centered campaign spent little time in working-class White towns that had always supported Democrats. The Trump campaign, which had watched then-Rep. Lou Barletta turn his part of the region red by cracking down on undocumented immigrants, made a serious play here. The result was the biggest regional flip in the state, with a roughly 36,000-vote margin for Obama in 2012 turning into an approximately 86,000-vote margin for Trump — enough all by itself to turn the state red.

Much of the movement came in Luzerne County, where the city of Wilkes-Barre stayed blue but the townships around it surged toward the GOP. Democrats won it back in 2018, improving throughout the region, but Trump’s protectionist trade messaging and anti-establishment positioning was perfect for towns and cities that had been told for decades that someone was coming to reverse their decline. Scranton’s Lackawanna County stayed blue, but only by a hair; in 2012, the Obama-Biden ticket won it by 27 points.
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Dutch Country

Compared with the state overall, the voting population here …
Has a lower share of people living in cities than average.
Has fewer non-White residents than average.
Has fewer college-educated residents than average.

George W. Bush never carried Pennsylvania, but it was his reelection campaign that first realized how many more Republican votes were obtainable in Dutch Country and the region around the state capital of Harrisburg. Bush added 30,000 votes to his total in Lancaster County from 2000 to 2004, and not even Trump has matched that performance since. But Democrats learned the hard way, with Trump, that social conservatives were just as happy voting for a brash, thrice-married New Yorker as they were voting for a traditional family man.

Across the region, Trump improved the GOP margin from more than 156,000 votes to more than 225,000 votes, winning everything outside of the small cities, like Harrisburg, York, Lebanon and Lancaster. Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf, who lives in York, cut those margins in his 2018 reelection but still lost the region. Democrats are also competing seriously for the 10th Congressional District, which backed Trump by nine points in 2016 but reelected Republican Rep. Scott Perry in 2018 by just three points — a potential hint at how Democrats can bid for voters in a conservative region that doesn’t rely on energy exploration for economic growth.
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Central

Compared with the state overall, the voting population here …
Has a lower share of people living in cities than average.
Has fewer non-White residents than average.
Has fewer college-educated residents than average.

Thirty-six years ago, when James Carville helped elect Robert P. Casey Sr. as governor in a tight race, he summed up the commonwealth this way: “Between Paoli and Penn Hills, Pennsylvania is Alabama without the Blacks.” Democrats and Republicans have paraphrased that ever since, to explain the turnout war between the red rural “T” that connects Pittsburgh to Philadelphia. It was red before Trump ran, but he made it redder, adding more than 120,000 Republican votes as Democratic turnout stayed flat.

Across the region, only Centre County, home to Penn State University, leans toward Democrats, and the party’s win margin comes entirely from the borough of State College. That advantage might be hampered by the pandemic, which has stranded many students off campus and made traditional Democratic campaigning at universities impossible. There are no similar problems for Republicans, who were excited enough about Trump in 2016 and now have four years of antiabortion, pro-Second Amendment, pro-fracking policies to run on. The only questions are about the size of the coming Trump landslide here.
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West

Compared with the state overall, the voting population here …
Has a lower share of people living in cities than average.
Has fewer non-White residents than average.
Has fewer college-educated residents than average.

Twenty years ago, Al Gore swept every county in southwestern Pennsylvania, and an antiabortion Democrat from the region was the party’s nominee for Senate. Republicans have gained ground in the region ever since, as conservative Democrats were swept out of local offices, and pro-coal, pro-gun messaging became even more associated with the GOP. By 2016, as noted above, national Democrats were literally writing it off. But they thought they could do so, because they were winning elections without it.

The party won back some ground in 2018, but not much; even Rep. Conor Lamb, who won an old district cutting through the region, lost every county and was elected thanks to his strength in Pittsburgh’s closest suburbs, in Allegheny County. But he reduced the GOP’s win margins to the levels they’d won by in 2008, and a Biden performance at that level would complicate the Republicans’ statewide strategy. For a Democrat, losing the region by 110,000 or so votes, as Obama did in 2012, was survivable; losing it by 240,000 votes, as Hillary Clinton did, was not.

Biden, one of very few national Democratic Party figures who campaigned for Lamb, has stayed close to him, and has tailored his position on fracking — no ban but no new fossil fuel exploration on federal land — to the region. Local Democrats remain nervous that Biden has not campaigned in Erie County, which moved to Trump in 2016, and that he has not done more to combat the false accusation that he would “ban fracking.” On Aug. 31, when Biden came to Pittsburgh and denounced a fracking ban, his eyes were on the region outside the city. When he campaigned in Latrobe’s Westmoreland County a few days later, Trump was thinking about the same thing.
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tattyteresa01 
tattyteresa01: Gramma very interesting sorry but i dont like the clintons they are corrupt ,plus hillary let the ambassador and his men dies i cannot ever forget thoose poor men and their families
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tattyteresa01 
tattyteresa01: oops died
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Gramma Tinks 
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That's okay, you don't have to like the Clinton's. They are not running for President.
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WOW...Trump really IS dumb Listen for yourselves.



Biden isn't President! How would he demand a mandate for nationwide masks?


(Edited by Gramma Tinks)
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Trump on ABC News town hall: ‘We’ve done a tremendous job’ with COVID-19 response.

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Trump on ABC News town hall: Trump on why there wasn’t a national COVID-19 shutdown.

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Trump on ABC News town hall: Trump responds to question on US's racial inequalities.

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Trump on ABC News town hall: George Floyd, Breonna Taylor killings ‘tragic events’

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Trump on ABC News town hall: Comments on military ‘were never made by me’

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Trump on ABC News town hall: We will protect coverage for preexisting conditions.

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The entire 90 minute 20/20 Special is available on Hulu.

Trump's ABC News town hall: Fact-checking the president's answers:

https://abcn.ws/3mqu7jK
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Gramma Tinks 
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You don't have to like my comments Tatty...political comments are rarely liked

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tattyteresa01 
tattyteresa01: Bella I watch both Foxnews and CNN we used to have ABC and GM America but its too early ,haven't seen them lately ,the first two are on 24/7
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Fractured fairy tale
Fractured fairy tale: Because Biden has been saying for Moths If I become president I will make a A mandate that every one has to wear Masks , , But hes started to walk away from from that ,because he cant really Its up to the the State governers , Its not really up to the president , Why is every one so worried about what the President says , Its Trump derangement sydrome Is why
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Gramma Tinks 
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I'm so mad that I don't have Hulu I might have to stop being cheap and spend the $11.00 a month.

I'm going to have to if they are airing these specials only on Hulu.
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Fractured,

I realize that...but for Trump to ask why Biden hasn't mandated it.
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Fractured fairy tale
Fractured fairy tale: Biden says heaps of craxy things , no one gets up in arms about that ,
Do you insist your Grand kids wear masks when ever they walk out side
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tattyteresa01 
tattyteresa01: Bella your politics is too deep foor me
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Gramma Tinks 
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It's okay Tatty I wouldn't understand yours either

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tattyteresa01 
tattyteresa01: Bella i think hulu is worth investing lol
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Gramma Tinks 
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Fractured, I only have (1) grandchild. He is 10 months old.

I have ZERO doubt that Biden says stupid things.
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